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Waste Management & Research, Vol. 10, No. 6, 505-516 (1992)
DOI: 10.1177/0734242X9201000604

A Critique of Risk Modeling and Risk Assessment of Municipal Landfills Based On U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Techniques

Jennifer Chilton

Business Law and Economics Center, John M. Olin School of Business, Washington University, U.S.A.

Kenneth Chilton

Director, Center for the Study of American Business, Washington University, U.S.A.

Environmental risks are a growing public concern in America. The threat of contaminated drinking water from municipal solid waste (MSW) landfills is receiving increased attention from citizens and from the United States Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). Examination of USEPA data collected from MSW landfills reveals approximate risks posed by these landfills. USEPA research suggests that 60% of MSW landfills present less than a 1 in 10 billion risk of cancer incidence. Another 6% pose risks less than 1 in a billion, while 17% present risks less than 1 in a million. This study addresses the USEPA risk assessment techniques and models for estimating MSW landfill risks. USEPA data for toxic constituents of landfill leachate are also analysed in order to better understand the difficulties encountered in estimating landfill risks. The study also presents a brief discussion of public perceptions of risk as they relate to communicating the USEPA landfill model results to those who might be affected.

Key Words: Risk modeling • risk assessment • public perception • landfills • U.S.A.


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